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...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

.REST OF TODAY...Mostly sunny and breezy. Highs in the lower 70s.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 15 to 20 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny and breezy. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. 

$$


 

 

 

.Synopsis for Eastern North Carolina coastal waters...
Strong cool high pressure will build south down the Atlantic 
Seaboard today and linger through much of the upcoming week.

$$


 

 

Neuse and Bay Rivers-
1157 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves rough. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves rough.
.MON...NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves rough. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing
to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves rough, diminishing to choppy
after midnight. 
.TUE...N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming NW 10 to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the
afternoon. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. 
.WED...W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. 
.THU...SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.  

$$


 

S of Cape Lookout to N of Surf City NC out 20 nm-
1157 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2020

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 10 ft, building to 9 to 12 
ft this afternoon. Dominant period 16 seconds. Adjacent sounds and 
rivers rough, increasing to very rough.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 13
ft, except 6 to 9 ft near shore. Dominant period 16 seconds. 
Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. 
.MON...NE winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft,
except 7 to 9 ft near shore. Dominant period 17 seconds. Adjacent 
sounds and rivers very rough. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming N 20 to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 8 to 13 ft, except 6 to 9 ft near shore. Dominant
period 15 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough,
diminishing to rough after midnight. 
.TUE...N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to
10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Adjacent sounds and
rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Adjacent sounds
and rivers light chop. 
.WED...W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SW. Seas 5 to 7 ft, subsiding to
3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. 
.THU...SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and
rivers light chop.  

$$

 

Pine Knoll Shores, Salter Path, and Emerald Isle
1045 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...

.REST OF TODAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........High. 
Surf Height.................4 to 6 feet. 
Thunderstorm Potential**....None. 
UV Index**..................High. 
Weather.....................Partly sunny. 
High Temperature............In the lower 70s. 
Winds.......................Breezy. Northeast winds around 25 mph.
Tides...
   Atlantic Beach...........High 5.1 feet (MLLW) 10:10 AM EDT.
                            Low -0.1 feet (MLLW) 04:20 PM EDT.

.MONDAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........High. 
Surf Height.................6 to 7 feet. 
Thunderstorm Potential**....None. 
Weather.....................Mostly sunny. 
High Temperature............In the lower 70s. 
Winds.......................Breezy. Northeast winds 20 to 25 mph.
Tides...
   Atlantic Beach...........High 5.0 feet (MLLW) 11:05 AM EDT.
                            Low 0.1 feet (MLLW) 05:19 PM EDT.

&&

Rip Current Risk Category
* Low Risk - The risk for rip currents is low, however,
life-threatening rip currents often occur in the vicinity of groins,
jetties, reefs, and piers.
* Moderate Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the
surf zone.
* High Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are likely in the surf
zone.

** For thunderstorm and UV definitions see:
https://www.weather.gov/beach/mhx

$$


 

 

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Last Updated 12:15pm on 9/20/20

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Temperature 69.0F (Airport 69.8F 09/20/2020 10:54am

Wind Gust  21mph

Direction NE 

Humidity 71%

 
Wind Chill   68.6

Barometer   30.30

 

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Viewing mouth of Upper Broad Creek, just below Northwest Creek and Fairfield Harbour, taken from Johnson Point facing ENE

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National Weather Outlook


 

Compare 4

Models

Updated at 6am

Today's Forecast for 2pm (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/06/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_012_10m_wnd_precip.gif  

 Tomorrow at 2pm (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_030_10m_wnd_precip.gif

 2 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_054_10m_wnd_precip.gif

3 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_078_10m_wnd_precip.gif

4 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_102_10m_wnd_precip.gif

5 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_126_10m_wnd_precip.gif

6 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_126_10m_wnd_precip.gif

7 Days From Now (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_174_10m_wnd_precip.gif

9 Days From Now (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_174_10m_wnd_precip.gif

12 Days From Now (updated at 6am)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_174_10m_wnd_precip.gif

 

Updated at 6pm

 2pm (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_030_10m_wnd_precip.gif

 2 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_054_10m_wnd_precip.gif

3 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_078_10m_wnd_precip.gif

4 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_102_10m_wnd_precip.gif

5 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_102_10m_wnd_precip.gif

6 Days From Now at 2pm (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_126_10m_wnd_precip.gif

7 Days From Now (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_174_10m_wnd_precip.gif

9 Days From Now (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_174_10m_wnd_precip.gif

12 Days From Now (updated at 6pm)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/wnatl/10m_wnd_precip/gfs_wnatl_174_10m_wnd_precip.gif

New Bern Area Weather Forecast

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

.REST OF TODAY...Mostly sunny and breezy. Highs in the lower 70s.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 15 to 20 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny and breezy. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. 

$$


 

Weather Synopsis

.Synopsis for Eastern North Carolina coastal waters...
Strong cool high pressure will build south down the Atlantic 
Seaboard today and linger through much of the upcoming week.

$$


Neuse and Bay River Marine Forecast

Neuse and Bay Rivers-
1157 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves rough. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves rough.
.MON...NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves rough. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing
to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves rough, diminishing to choppy
after midnight. 
.TUE...N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming NW 10 to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the
afternoon. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. 
.WED...W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. 
.THU...SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.  

$$


Pamlico Sound Marine Forecast

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

.REST OF TODAY...Mostly sunny and breezy. Highs in the lower 70s.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 15 to 20 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny and breezy. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. 

$$


Atlantic Beach Forecast

Carteret-
Including the cities of Morehead City, Beaufort, Newport, 
Atlantic Beach, and Emerald Isle
302 PM EDT Thu Apr 4 2019

.TONIGHT...Mostly clear this evening, then becoming partly cloudy.
Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds around 10 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers
in the afternoon. Breezy with highs in the upper 60s. Southeast
winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Showers, mainly in the evening. Breezy with
lows in the upper 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph, becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph after midnight. Chance of
rain 90 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. A chance of
showers, mainly in the morning. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds
around 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers in
the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the upper
50s. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 20 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Breezy with
lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Breezy with highs
in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy in the evening, then becoming partly
cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 60. Chance of rain
50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of showers in the morning. Highs
in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. 
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. 

$$


Atlantic Beach Marine Forecast

S of Cape Lookout to N of Surf City NC out 20 nm-
1157 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2020

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 10 ft, building to 9 to 12 
ft this afternoon. Dominant period 16 seconds. Adjacent sounds and 
rivers rough, increasing to very rough.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 13
ft, except 6 to 9 ft near shore. Dominant period 16 seconds. 
Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. 
.MON...NE winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft,
except 7 to 9 ft near shore. Dominant period 17 seconds. Adjacent 
sounds and rivers very rough. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming N 20 to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 8 to 13 ft, except 6 to 9 ft near shore. Dominant
period 15 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough,
diminishing to rough after midnight. 
.TUE...N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to
10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Adjacent sounds and
rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Adjacent sounds
and rivers light chop. 
.WED...W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SW. Seas 5 to 7 ft, subsiding to
3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. 
.THU...SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and
rivers light chop.  

$$

Atlantic Beach Surf Zone Forecast

Pine Knoll Shores, Salter Path, and Emerald Isle
1045 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...

.REST OF TODAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........High. 
Surf Height.................4 to 6 feet. 
Thunderstorm Potential**....None. 
UV Index**..................High. 
Weather.....................Partly sunny. 
High Temperature............In the lower 70s. 
Winds.......................Breezy. Northeast winds around 25 mph.
Tides...
   Atlantic Beach...........High 5.1 feet (MLLW) 10:10 AM EDT.
                            Low -0.1 feet (MLLW) 04:20 PM EDT.

.MONDAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........High. 
Surf Height.................6 to 7 feet. 
Thunderstorm Potential**....None. 
Weather.....................Mostly sunny. 
High Temperature............In the lower 70s. 
Winds.......................Breezy. Northeast winds 20 to 25 mph.
Tides...
   Atlantic Beach...........High 5.0 feet (MLLW) 11:05 AM EDT.
                            Low 0.1 feet (MLLW) 05:19 PM EDT.

&&

Rip Current Risk Category
* Low Risk - The risk for rip currents is low, however,
life-threatening rip currents often occur in the vicinity of groins,
jetties, reefs, and piers.
* Moderate Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the
surf zone.
* High Risk - Life-threatening rip currents are likely in the surf
zone.

** For thunderstorm and UV definitions see:
https://www.weather.gov/beach/mhx

$$


Tropical Outlook Discussion

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Beta, located over the western Gulf of Mexico, on Hurricane 
Teddy, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda, 
and on Tropical Storm Wilfred, located over the central tropical 
Atlantic. 

Post-Tropical Cyclone Paulette is located a few hundred miles south 
of the Azores and continues to produce a few showers, well to the 
northwest and north of its center of circulation. This system is 
drifting southward over marginally warm waters and is expected to 
begin moving eastward in a couple of days. The cyclone could 
develop tropical or subtropical characteristics during the next day 
or two. For more information about marine hazards associated with 
this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

A small and weak low pressure system, located near a frontal 
boundary just off the coast of east-central Florida, is producing a 
small area of thunderstorms mainly offshore the coast. The low is 
expected to move inland over Florida or dissipate later today, and 
significant development is not anticipated. For more information on 
this system, please see local products and High Seas Forecasts 
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO 
header FQNT50 LFPW and are available on the web at 
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ 
metarea2

Local forecast products issued by the National Weather Service are 
available on the web at www.weather.gov.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Tropical Summary

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin during the month of 
August was slightly above average in terms of the number of named 
storms that developed.  Four named storms formed during the month, 
with two of them becoming hurricanes, including Hurricane Laura 
that intensified into a major hurricane.  One tropical depression 
also formed at the end of the month offshore of the southeastern 
U.S. coast. Based on a 30-year climatology (1981-2010), three named 
storms typically form in the basin in August, with one or two of 
them becoming hurricanes, and one of them becoming a major 
hurricane.

In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the 
strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes, activity 
in the basin so far in 2020 has also been above average, about 40 
percent above the long-term mean.

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at
the National Hurricane Center website at
www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2020&basin=atl

Summary Table

Name                  Dates          Max Wind (mph)
---------------------------------------------------
TS  Arthur          16-19 May            60
TS  Bertha          27-28 May            50
TS  Cristobal        1-9  Jun            60
TS  Dolly           22-24 Jun            45
TS  Edouard          4-6  Jul            45
TS  Fay              9-11 Jul            60
TS  Gonzalo          1-25 Jul            65
H   Hanna           23-27 Jul            90
H   Isaias          30 Jul- 5 Aug        85
TD  Ten             31 Jul- 1 Aug        35
TS  Josephine       11-16 Aug            45
TS  Kyle            14-16 Aug            50
MH  Laura           20-28 Aug           150
H   Marco           20-25 Aug            75
TD  Fifteen     31 Aug-                  35
---------------------------------------------------

$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit



 

Latest Hurricane Information

Latest Hurricane Information

Sale

Today Tomorrow

Forecast for next 16 Days

DC

Mr. Brown Poem

Osprey Fishing

6pm Run

 

New Bern Area:
No Warnings
Atlantic Beach Area:
No Warnings

New Bern

No Warnings

Atlantic Beach

No Warnings

 

Daily Peak (Instantaneous) 30mph   Peak Time 7:48am   

 

 (Gust running avg) vva003 mph vva003 mph

 (Gust daily avg) vda003 mph

Gust rate) vrh003 mph

 (Gust yest.high) vzh003 mph